History Major. Cripple. Vaguely Left-Wing. In pain and constantly irritable.

  • 47 Posts
  • 72 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: March 24th, 2025

help-circle
  • Those look very similar to me. I would say Japan is now where Poland will be in 10 years. Why it’s a problem for Japan but not Poland?

    That’s the thing about population pyramids - they don’t just move up evenly. They’re adjusted by the ongoing mortality of each age group and the size of the next age group down. Poland and Japan are on the same trajectory, but Japan is, effectively, much further along. More ~30-40 years than ~10. The emphasis is less on the largest ‘boom’ generation, and much more on the general trend of the ‘youngest’ generations shrinking, growing, or being stable. In Poland, it’s uneven - closer to shrinking than stable, but more stable than Japan, which is only shrinking.

    Even relatively small differences can have an outsized effect in making the older generations an ever-larger proportion of the population despite their lifetime mortality going up with each age bracket. Compare the percentages here. “Boom” generation aside, Japan’s retiree cohort is roughly 150% the youth cohort. That’s not a good sign. For Poland to end up with those numbers in a decade, it would have to have effectively no mortality in the elder cohorts - extremely unlikely.

    That being said, it is a problem for Poland going forward - as well as many other developed countries.









  • PugJesus@piefed.socialOPtomemes@lemmy.worldSTOP SCROLLING RIGHT NOW
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    12
    ·
    3 months ago

    Explanation: What we were generally recognize as the physical form of a book in the modern day is formally called a codex - an invention of the 1st century AD Roman Empire that made reading and book storage much more efficient. Instead of a single sheet of paper that needed to be unraveled, smaller sheets were bound to a spine and protected with covers, progressing through the writing by turning the pages.

    Stop living in the past! Embrace the F U T U R E!