IT’S LIKE RAYY-EE-AYYYYYYYYNNN

Yet my prediction was not simply that they would closec the strait. Of course everyone knew that.

Oui.

deleted by creator

Yet option 3 was an accurate prediction 🤔🤔🤔

And I hope you’re ESL cause otherwise that’s a hell of an ironic sentence. BUT I’ll use my terrible predictive abilities and bet that you are ESL. Which probably makes you smarter than me just by definition.

21 hours…9 was the edit.

Although I suppose you have to take my word on that since I don’t think you can see edit histories.

But yeah.

Hoo boy. I wasn’t calling you a libtard. I was talking about you screeching at “liberals”

Uhhhh it wasn’t happening when I made the prediction smart guy 😂

Ahhhh yes the good old libtard excuse.

“Everyone hates me because I’m hanging out in a place where everyone hates me, but I’m actually super cool”

Lol… what does it feel like to be a caricature without realizing you’re a caricature?

So it was a “one of these things is bound to happen” list, not a “these are all going to happen” list.

And #3 is absolutely panning out so far. We will see if it keeps up. But curious how you are so confident in your criticism when it’s literally happening…

Or were you like most others thinking I was predicting all three things would happen, which is absolutely stupid because they can’t by definition all happen.

Did I say Iran couldn’t do any damage?

My whole point is the tit for tat can’t go any longer. And I’ve been vindicated (a bit) so far in that my 3rd scenario is starting to play out. Full mobilizing of the IRGC, scatter orders. US strikes are heavier and more frequent.

The strait cannot be fully closed again/ much longer without serious physical shortages starting to appear. Therefore Iran either has to capitulate or go over the top and go for max pain.

Here’s an if for ya.

IF anyone was to look at comment histories and compare, you’d see that on the whole my comments are much more highly upvoted.

Now, I don’t give a shit, but you should really think about things before you comment. Because it sure seems like your commenting is more or less a finger up your ass thing more than anything else…

Good lord, ok sure let’s see who’s right in the end.

“I write a thousand comments a month”

I don’t know what kind of mind that is, but I wouldn’t be throwing any shade if I was in your shoes…

The US can flatten their infrastructure at will. They can only withstand so much of that before the calculus they’ve been working under changes.

Iran was benefitting from the war for a large part of it. No longer.

I’m not a butterfly

All three?

Dayam, well I won’t fight you cause I’m no position to claim I know enough…but I’m curious what you think? Just more tit for tat/straits open/straits closed/etc?

Unfortunately I think this is it for Iran, they can only do two things now: full scorched earth or capitulate. And it’s likely going to be capitulate.

They can’t tit for tat after today’s attacks. The US went after infrastructure this time. If they close the strait again they’re prepared to go to full war.

I think. What the fuck do I know. But would bet within 48 hours:

1. Surrender by the Iranian regime, much better terms than currently negotiated.
2. US ground invasion to topple the regime.
3. Iran goes all out closing the strait, bombing everything within reach, fully mobilizing military

Edit: I realize now people are reading this as all 3 will happen which is stupid, but doesn’t surprise me.

Looks like number 3 is unfolding

Except that I’m talking about feeling personally that you were part of the problem.

Joe Blow was not feeling personally guilty about nuclear weapons. Or felt like they personally caused the war. Or that the economic crash was their fault.

Do you know how many people, particularly boomers, spent literally decades denying climate change, while obviously not participating in efforts against it?

If I’m an old white boomer who spent the last 15 years making my whole identity a Ford F-350 and Fuck Biden / Fuck Trudeau bumper stickers, I heart oil, i heart beef, i heart anything that a liberal hates…I might be feeling a bit uneasy about some of my stances while I’m watching the world burn. Then again, let’s face it… the ones who did the most damage are the least likely to even be capable of understanding how dire things are, even when they’re staring it in the face…

They are in complete denial. Imagine approaching death right as it’s impossible to deny your generation personally fucked up the future of civilization itself.

In my experience you now get one of: 1. The weather has always been like this, 2. I did everything I could, I recycled and brought my own cup to the coffee shop, 3. Oh well, I’ll be dead soon so it’s not my problem.